Financial Trade

European equities closed higher on July 9, with the pan-European STOXX 600 rising 0.8% to a four-week peak, led by banks and defense sectors. Italy’s FTMIB surged 1.6% to 2007 levels, fueled by a 4.6% jump in UniCredit (CRDI.MI) to 2011 highs, despite shareholder resistance to its Commerzbank (CBKG.DE) acquisition bid.

Local - time on Wednesday, US President Donald Trump turned his trade anger towards Brazil, the largest economy in Latin America. He announced a 50% punitive tariff on Brazilian goods exported to the US and ordered an investigation into "unfair trade practices", which may lead to higher tariffs. The new tariff will take effect on August 1, much higher than the 10% tariff imposed on Brazil on April 2 this year.

Britain announced a £7.5 billion ($10 billion) clean energy investment deal with Japan’s Sumitomo Group on July 9, focusing on offshore wind and hydrogen infrastructure. Investment Minister Poppy Gustafsson said it would "break grid bottlenecks." Sumitomo, a long-term energy investor, has injected over £20 billion in the UK in a decade, marking a key step in the Labour government’s push for private capital in net-zero transitions.

London’s FTSE 100 inched up 0.2% on July 9, with investors continuing to absorb the impact of U.S. tariff expansions. Advertising giant WPP (WPP.L) plunged 19%—its worst daily drop in over three decades—after slashing profit forecasts due to key client losses and shrinking new business, weighing heavily on the index.

The U.S. House of Representatives passed the Genius Act on July 17, sending it to President Trump for signature. This marks the first U.S. regulatory framework for dollar-backed crypto stablecoins. The House also approved two other crypto bills the same day.

Bank of Japan board member Junko Kotani warned on July 9 that surging prices of rice and other foodstuffs are intensifying inflationary pressures, urging vigilance against "second-round effects" that might lift household inflation expectations. Japan’s consumer inflation remains around 3%, but the BOJ’s weighted median inflation gauge—closely watched by policymakers—still lags below the 2% target. Kotani noted economic uncertainty makes it premature to pinpoint the next rate hike, with food prices a critical variable.

On July 9, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept the Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 3.25%, in line with market expectations. This pause brings an end to six consecutive rate cuts since August 2023, during which the rate was slashed by a cumulative 225 basis points.

New Zealand’s benchmark S&P/NZX 50 index dropped 0.7% to 12,769 on Wednesday, pulling back from a seven-week high hit the previous day, after the Reserve Bank paused its rate-cutting cycle. The central bank kept the cash rate at 3.25% as expected, citing concerns that current inflation and global trade tensions could fuel price pressures. It had cut rates six times since August 2023, totaling 225 basis points, but signaled further cuts may come if inflation eases as projected in May.

Australia’s central bank held its cash rate at 3.85% on July 9, with the Monetary Policy Committee voting 6-3 to wait. While May inflation dipped to 2.1% (core 2.4%, a 3.5-year low), June’s CPI was "slightly stronger than expected," and rising global trade policy uncertainties—like U.S. tariff hikes—prompted the RBA to seek more data confirming inflation’s steady move toward the 2.5% target.

Australia’s stock market fell across the board on July 9, with the S&P/ASX 200 dropping 0.61% to 8,538.6 points. Markets reeled after Trump announced plans to impose 50% tariffs on imported copper (effective as early as late July) and 200% on pharmaceuticals, triggering a 13.1% daily surge in copper prices—their biggest jump since 1989.

Canada is pushing faster trade diversification to fend off U.S. tariff impacts: its U.S. export share dropped 10 percentage points to 68% between May 2024 and May 2025, with auto parts and steel hit hardest. Over the period, U.S.-bound exports fell C$7.7 billion (-15%), while gains to the UK, EU, and Asia-Pacific (C$5.7 billion, +42%) failed to offset the gap.

Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index ended a two-day slide, edging up 0.35% to 26,998.66 on July 9, with real estate stocks leading gains. Markets reacted divergently to Trump’s 50% copper tariff plan (effective as early as late July) and extended trade talks to August 1: the real estate index (.GSPTTRE) rose 0.5% on H&R REIT’s (HR_u.TO) 4.7% surge amid Blackstone acquisition talks.

Japan saw 4,990 corporate bankruptcies in H1 2025, up 1.19% year-on-year and the highest H1 tally since 2014. Small businesses bore the brunt: 172 firms collapsed directly due to labor shortages—a record—with 89.8% of failed companies employing fewer than 10 people. They faced a vicious cycle: forced to raise wages but unable to absorb costs, widening the "pay gap" with large corporations.

Australia’s business environment improved sharply in June, with NAB’s Business Conditions Index jumping 9 points to a 13-month peak on July 9, while confidence rose for the third straight month (+3 points). All key metrics strengthened: sales surged 10 points, profitability gained 9 points, and employment edged up 2 points. Capacity utilization hit 83.3%, with future orders climbing 2 points, signaling a shift from early-year weakness and stronger second-half momentum, noted NAB’s Australian Economics Head Gareth Spence.

Canada’s Ivey PMI climbed to 53.3 in June, a four-month high, signaling accelerating economic activity. However, underlying concerns emerged: the employment sub-index dipped below 50 (49.5), while the price index surged to 70.2, highlighting mounting inflation pressures.

Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 0.2% to 26,959.65 on Tuesday, dragged by a 2.4% plunge in mining. Gold producers led declines: SSR Mining (SSRM.TO) dropped 6.1% and Orla Mining (OLA.TO) 6.5%, reflecting global gold price pullbacks.