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BOJ Warns of Food Price-Driven Inflation; U.S. Tariffs Could Severely Hurt Japan's GDPBOJ Warns of Food Price-Driven Inflation; U.S. Tariffs Could Severely Hurt Japan's GDP

BOJ Warns of Food Price-Driven Inflation; U.S. Tariffs Could Severely Hurt Japan's GDP

Bank of Japan board member Junko Kotani warned on July 9 that surging prices of rice and other foodstuffs are intensifying inflationary pressures, urging vigilance against "second-round effects" that might lift household inflation expectations. Japan’s consumer inflation remains around 3%, but the BOJ’s weighted median inflation gauge—closely watched by policymakers—still lags below the 2% target. Kotani noted economic uncertainty makes it premature to pinpoint the next rate hike, with food prices a critical variable.
Canada's S&P/TSX Rises 0.35% as Real Estate Leads, Tariff Impact MutedCanada's S&P/TSX Rises 0.35% as Real Estate Leads, Tariff Impact Muted

Canada's S&P/TSX Rises 0.35% as Real Estate Leads, Tariff Impact Muted

Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index ended a two-day slide, edging up 0.35% to 26,998.66 on July 9, with real estate stocks leading gains. Markets reacted divergently to Trump’s 50% copper tariff plan (effective as early as late July) and extended trade talks to August 1: the real estate index (.GSPTTRE) rose 0.5% on H&R REIT’s (HR_u.TO) 4.7% surge amid Blackstone acquisition talks.
Ireland Revises Q1 GDP Down, Germany’s Exports Slide on U.S. Tariff ShiftsIreland Revises Q1 GDP Down, Germany’s Exports Slide on U.S. Tariff Shifts

Ireland Revises Q1 GDP Down, Germany’s Exports Slide on U.S. Tariff Shifts

Ireland’s CSO sharply revised Q1 GDP growth on July 8: annual expansion was cut to 7.4% from 9.7%, as surging U.S. pharmaceutical exports faded. The more indicative Modified Domestic Demand (MDD) was revised up to 2.0% from 0.8%, though 2024 full-year MDD growth was trimmed to 1.8% from 2.7%. GNI*, stripping multinationals’ distortions, showed 4.8% 2024 growth, highlighting GDP’s skew from cross-border capital flows.
Japan's Corporate Bankruptcies Hit 11-Year Half-Year High, Pressures MountJapan's Corporate Bankruptcies Hit 11-Year Half-Year High, Pressures Mount

Japan's Corporate Bankruptcies Hit 11-Year Half-Year High, Pressures Mount

Japan saw 4,990 corporate bankruptcies in H1 2025, up 1.19% year-on-year and the highest H1 tally since 2014. Small businesses bore the brunt: 172 firms collapsed directly due to labor shortages—a record—with 89.8% of failed companies employing fewer than 10 people. They faced a vicious cycle: forced to raise wages but unable to absorb costs, widening the "pay gap" with large corporations.
Australian Business Conditions Surge to 1-Year High, Offset by U.S. Tariff RisksAustralian Business Conditions Surge to 1-Year High, Offset by U.S. Tariff Risks

Australian Business Conditions Surge to 1-Year High, Offset by U.S. Tariff Risks

Australia’s business environment improved sharply in June, with NAB’s Business Conditions Index jumping 9 points to a 13-month peak on July 9, while confidence rose for the third straight month (+3 points). All key metrics strengthened: sales surged 10 points, profitability gained 9 points, and employment edged up 2 points. Capacity utilization hit 83.3%, with future orders climbing 2 points, signaling a shift from early-year weakness and stronger second-half momentum, noted NAB’s Australian Economics Head Gareth Spence.
UK House Prices Stabilize; Corporate Investment Shifts Toward BritainUK House Prices Stabilize; Corporate Investment Shifts Toward Britain

UK House Prices Stabilize; Corporate Investment Shifts Toward Britain

UK house prices showed signs of stabilization in June, with Halifax data recording zero month-on-month growth (previous figure revised up to -0.3%) and annual gains edging down to 2.5%. While April’s stamp duty hike dampened activity—prices are slightly lower than late 2023—mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest since 2023. Halifax Mortgages Director Amanda Bladen noted wage growth is supporting market resilience, with two rate cuts expected this year likely to drive modest price recoveries in H2.
RBNZ Likely to Pause Rate Cuts This Week; Economic Outlook Faces PressuresRBNZ Likely to Pause Rate Cuts This Week; Economic Outlook Faces Pressures

RBNZ Likely to Pause Rate Cuts This Week; Economic Outlook Faces Pressures

New Zealand’s Reserve Bank (RBNZ) is expected to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 3.25% on July 10, pausing its streak of six consecutive rate cuts since August 2024. Market expectations for a cut this week stand at just 15%, though most forecasts anticipate 25–50 basis points of easing by November. ANZ Bank holds a differing view, assigning a 40% probability of a cut and projecting cumulative 75 basis points of reductions by February 2025, bringing the OCR to 2.5%.
Plummeting International Student Numbers in Australia Raise Labor Shortage Fears; RBA Rate Cut ImminentPlummeting International Student Numbers in Australia Raise Labor Shortage Fears; RBA Rate Cut Imminent

Plummeting International Student Numbers in Australia Raise Labor Shortage Fears; RBA Rate Cut Imminent

Australia is grappling with a sharp decline in international students, triggering concerns over labor market gaps. As of April 2025, the total number of international students dropped to 794,000, a decrease of 300,000 from the end of 2024. New enrollments plummeted 13% year-on-year to 219,000, while visa applications fell by over 30%. This is largely attributed to successive policy tightenings: visa fees were hiked twice in a year (from A$710 to A$1,600, then to A$2,000); English proficiency and financial proof requirements were raised

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